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by Simon, 2010-01-29 02:19:35Premiership Betting Tips - 30th - 31st January 2010
30th January 2010
Birmingham (3.25) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.38)
Birmingham's record run came to an end spectacularly at Stamford Bridge, losing 3-0. All good things must come to an end I guess. They still have one of the meanest defences at home though, only conceding 6. Spurs bounced back from the loss at Liverpool with a fairly comfortable 2-0 win over Fulham. The 2-2 home draw to Leeds was worrying (and costly for punters). Why they just didn't waste is just beyond me. In the last couple of away games, Spurs have failed to find the net. I am not convinced that Spurs should be favourites here. Chelsea and Man U came to St Andrews and only came away with draws. Definitely an 1X game here. I think I will go for a draw, 0-0 or 1-1. Its 3.4 at Boylesport.
Fulham (2.75) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.8)
Fulham are certainly back in the 'can't win away from home' groove. Four straight away losses now. They may well have lost to Accrington if it wasn't for Accrington getting a man sent off. Fortunately, their home form is much better, 6-2-2. There are goal scoring problems for Villa in the league. They have failed to score in their last 4 league games, though have scored a few in the cup. I will go for Fulham here as they are at home and Villa aren't scoring. Its 2.75 at bluesquare
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Hull (2.3) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (3.4)
Hull are in deep trouble still. Winless in 8 now, relegation looms even at this stage in the season. To be fair, they did lose the games that they were expected to lose and picked up an unexpected point at Spurs the other week. Jimmy Bullard may well be back for this game. The underwent a mini-revival with him in the team. Wolves gained a good point from a visiting Liverpool but have failed to score in the last 4 games. Worrying times for Mick McCarthy as Wolves only sit above the relegation zone on goal difference. I'll go for the home win at 2.3 at Betfred if Bullard plays or its the draw.
Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.3) Bolton (8.5)
Liverpool look like having Gerrard back for this game. They still think they can get 4th. They'll have to raise their expectations though. Gerrard was saying how it was a good point away at Stoke. The Liverpool that nearly won the league last year would have seen that as 2 points dropped. Last game they drew 0-0 away to Wolves. Bolton have got a couple of wins under their belt now. With Owen Coyle as manager you can expect a different of game from Bolton. Tricky game to call this. Liverpool aren't really a team you want to be backing at 1.5. I can see them winning this by the odd goal but it'll be tight. For me, the better bet is Bolton +1 on the Asian Handicap. Its 2.17 at bet365. With the Asian Handicap +1, you get your money back if its a 1 goal victory for Liverpool and win if its a draw or a Bolton win. Liverpool have won this fixture in the last 5 years not conceding a single goal but this Liverpool side isn't as strong as past ones.
West Ham (2.2) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (3.75)
West Ham have picked up a bit of form recently. They conceded late at Portsmouth and were unlucky not to get all 3 points there. Previously, they got a good point away at Villa. Carlton Cole should be back for this game so they will have the extra fire power up front. Blackburn have won their last 2 home league games. They tend to do worse on the road though, 1-2-8. Big Sam knows these are the types of games that will keep them up this season. Still, I think West Ham will win this. Its 2.2 at bluesquare
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Wigan (3.25) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.4)
I still can't work out Wigan. Just when I thought they were predictably bad, they go and win away at Wolves. They then lose 2-1 at Blackburn. Everton's season has turned now, they have won their last 2 league games 2-0 but did lose a cup game in-between. The injury list has gone down and they have Arteta back now too. I'm going with the team that is in form. Everton are 2.4 at PaddyPower.
Burnley (15) Draw (5.5) Chelsea (1.3)
Not really much to say about this. No win in 11 for Burnley. Chelsea are rampant and may have Drogba back for this. Chelsea to win is 1.3 at most places. The -2 on the Asian Handicap is 2.26 at bet365. I can see Chelsea winning this by at least 2 clear goals and probably a lot more.
31st January 2010
Manchester City (1.3) Draw (5.5) Portsmouth (12)
Home banker of the week this. City were undone by Man U's luck in the Carling Cup. They'll bounce back from that and the defeat at Everton a couple of weeks ago. City are unbeaten at home and have Adebayor back. Portsmouth have made 3 new signings after their transfer embargo was lifted which could make a difference. Its just not going to be straight away. Could be a good Asian Handicap play this. City are 2.61 -2 on the Asian at bet365. Its strange because the price is identical to the Chelsea game but their 2 goal handicap is priced at 2.26.
Arsenal (2.6) Draw (3.4) Manchester United (3)
Biggest game of the weekend by far. Its also one of the trickiest to call. The teams sit 2nd and 3rd but neither is playing particularly well at the moment. Arsenal drew 0-0 at Villa midweek and so missed their chance to go level at the top with Chelsea. They are very dependent on Fabregas scoring. Man U played a tough game against City. They were fortunate to score in the 2nd minute of stoppage time so as not to have played the extra 30. Man U have lost 4 away games this season already which I've never seen before. You'd expect that all season. From the betting point of view, I will have to go with Arsenal. Home advantage counts a lot and I don't see that much between these teams. 2.6 is a good price at bet365, William Hill and bluesquare
1st February 2010
Sunderland (2.15) Draw (3.4) Stoke (3.8)
No win in 9 for Sunderland and 6 of those were defeats. A run of form which is worrying for Steve Bruce. They have a couple of home games where they can maybe turn their season around after such promise. Stole come on the back of beating a weakened Arsenal side 3-1 in the FA Cup and a home draw against Liverpool. Away from home though, they tend to not want to score. They are 1-4-5 and have only score 4 away goals. Sunderland are 2.15 at bluesquare and that will be my bet.
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